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J.S. Kasimir's avatar

It's a pain knowing I'm not the only one who's experienced this pearl-clutching from others when I casually say I want to get a gun license. Holding keys when I walk at night won't keep me safe. Putting a gun in my purse is a liability issue.

It's almost like people think women are just gonna shoot themselves they moment they get a gun.

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Eidein's avatar

This is a tangent completely unrelated to guns but it's one of my Big Ideas so I have to soapbox

> “Your risk goes up just by having a gun in the house”,

This is one of the dumbest classes of argument that people have ever come up with. You see it happen a lot and it seems to specifically happen in the 'professional managerial class', the white collar bureaucrats and corporate people who run most stuff.

They're always reading this or that social science study, and taking the conclusions way too seriously. They'll read a study that shows (assume for sake of argument it's real; I assume it's not) that, _correlatively_, people with guns in their houses have a higher risk of gun violence than people who don't. And then they'll commit the fallacy of division and assume that the results of that study are applicable to their situation.

But they literally never are! Because that's not how statistics work. The study is aggregating over all Americans. But the hypothetical woman saying that line in this example is not _all_ Americans. She is _one_ American. She has additional information that gives her a better picture of her risk than is possible for the study to have, namely, knowledge about herself.

Assume for sake of argument that whatever study that shows that gun ownership = increased risk, is _true_. That's a statistical aggregate. It will _always_ be overridden by the direct information that you have about the specifics of your situation.

To frame it another way: Let's say hypothetically that there is a study that shows that gun ownership = increased risk of suicide. Maybe the average suicide rate in gun-free households is 1% and the average rate in gun households is 2%. YOUR PERSONAL RISK OF SUICIDE IS NEITHER OF THOSE NUMBERS. Your _personal_ risk of suicide is either 0% or 100%, and, critically, you know (or should know) yourself well enough to know which bucket you fall into. No study should ever change your mind on this.

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